Events over the week proved once more that one-way-bets do not exist in global financial markets. Not many investors felt that it was still possible for the ECB to surprise on the upside after Mario Draghi's comments at last months' Jackson Hole Symposium.
Sentiment towards Europe has picked up in the wake of recent monetary policy easing by the ECB, while investors are increasingly sure of a rate hike by the Fed in spring 2015, according to the BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for September.
The European Central Bank's unconventional monetary policy measures and rate cuts announced 4 September highlight the risks facing the eurozone economy, Fitch Ratings says.
According to Schroders Azad Zangana, European Economist and Chris Ames, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, the cut in interest rates is totally irrelevant. Due to the glut of liquidity in money markets, short-term interest rates have been below the ECB's main financing rate for some time – meaning that the latest cut will have near zero impact.
This has been a bleak month for the euro zone. A string of weak data releases, including flat region-wide GDP growth, and a contraction in Germany and Italy (the latter for the second quarter in a row, indicating recession), suggests the recovery not been sustained.