Despite talk of a ‘great normalisation' of monetary policy, persistent deflationary pressures mean global interest rates are set to stay lower for longer, according to Ariel Bezalel, manager of the Jupiter Dynamic Bond Fund
The risk concentration index (RCI) for a diversified portfolio had been on a downtrend since the start of 2014. The
latest risk aversion spell has brought this to an end. This index, which measures the diversity of risk sources, peaked
when markets were mainly guided by the perception of the Chinese risk and by the re-emergence of a systematic
risk.
First, let's start with an apology: All too often this year our notes have focused on the U.S. Federal Reserve, or global monetary policy in general. In our defense, as the global economy becomes more dependent on debt, in all its forms, the importance of servicing that debt cannot be overstated. Moreover, as fiscal policies have become exhausted in an era of European austerity and U.S. Congressional dysfunction, the role of monetary policy has been magnified. Until recently, we have been fairly optimistic concerning the Fed's ability to navigate the course to higher rates. We are less so today.
According to Nicolas Gaussel, Chief Investment Officer at Lyxor Asset Management, long-term risk premium exist because there are market
tempests. He advises to stay invested into Hedge Funds and risk budgeting
strategies: they have added value in the past decades and this time
is no different.
According to Tim Stevenson, Head of Europe Equity at Henderson Global Investors, with a clear increase in nervousness in recent months – especially August and September – it is perhaps time to ask “is that it in Europe”?