Macro-economic figures are currently strong almost everywhere in the World. The ISM index is back to its local high in the US, PMI indices are also well oriented in Europe, China has stopped being a concern and even Japan's growth seems to be coming back, albeit slowly.
Equities and bonds strengthened worldwide, but the dollar weakened because of the Fed's more
dovish tone on future rate rises. Whilst now at 1%, there is the suggestion another two rate rises will
happen in 2017, this is still below some of the market's more fearful projections.
As shown by
the correlation between the risk premium and productivity
trend growth, the current 5.9% risk premium anticipates a
return to productivity gains at 3%, which is the level we
saw during the dot com boom at the end of the 1990s.
The Lyxor Hedge Fund Index was marginally down last week. Lower oil prices and a weaker dollar contributed to the underperformance of Macro funds. However, they limited damages after building-up substantial long EM FX positions prior to the FOMC (as a result, their net overall USD exposure dropped by a third)...
According to Lukas Daalder, CIO Robeco Investment Solutions & Léon Cornelissen, Chief Economist at RobecoHaving said that, we should not overstate the impact: the rate hike that the US Federal Reserve administered yesterday has been the more dominant factor in financial markets, lifting both bonds and stocks.